\u3000\u3000\u66c9\u96ea\u665a\u81ea\u7fd2\u5f8c\u56de\u5230\u5bbf\u820d\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u5929\u5df2\u7d93\u6f06\u9ed1\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u540c\u5bbf\u820d\u7684Coco\u5f88\u8208\u596e\u5730\u6e4a\u904e\u4f86\u8aaa\uff1a\u66c9\u96ea\u4f60\u77e5\u9053\u55ce?\u6211\u548c\u5f6d\u6fe4\u90a3\u500b\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u66c9\u96ea\u6709\u9ede\u4e0d\u89e3\uff1a\u54ea\u500b?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000Coco\u8aaa\uff1a\u8a0e\u53ad\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u90a3\u500b\u5566\u3002\u6211\u5006\u90a3\u500b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u66c9\u96ea\u6709\u9ede\u9a5a\u8a1d\u5730\u54e6\u4e86\u4e00\u8072\uff0c\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u8a72\u8aaa\u4ec0\u9ebc\u597d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97Coco\u50cf\u88ab\u96fb\u6253\u5230\u4e00\u6a23\u775c\u5927\u4e86\u773c\u775b\uff1a\u96e3\u9053\u4f60\u548c\u738b\u8d85\u6c92\u6709\u767c\u751f\u904e\u95dc\u4fc2\u55ce?\u4f60\u5011\u90fd\u4ea4\u5f80\u5169\u500b\u6708\u4e86\u54ce\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u66c9\u96ea\u6709\u9ede\u4e0d\u597d\u610f\u601d\u5730\u8aaa\uff1a\u6c92\u6709\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000Coco\u5927\u70ba\u9a5a\u8a1d\uff1a\u5929\u54ea\uff0c\u6211\u5b8c\u5168\u6c92\u60f3\u5230\uff0c\u4f60\u9019\u9ebc\u6f02\u4eae\u7684\u5973\u751f\uff0c\u5927\u56db\u4e86\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u9084\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u5979\u6c92\u6709\u63a5\u8457\u8aaa\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u4f46\u662f\u5f88\u5feb\uff0c\u66c9\u96ea\u807d\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u5bbf\u820d\u7684\u4eba\u7aca\u7aca\u79c1\u8a9e\uff0c\u8aaa\u66c9\u96ea\u5047\u6b63\u7d93\uff0c\u8aaa\u4e0d\u51c6\u65e9\u5c31\u88ab\u7537\u4eba\u4e0a\u904e\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u5979\u5011\u9084\u8aaa\uff1a\u90fd\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e86\uff0c\u8001\u571f!<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u66c9\u96ea\u6709\u9ede\u82e6\u60b6\u5730\u4e0a\u7db2\u548c\u4e00\u500b\u7db2\u53cb\u50be\u8a34\uff0c\u7db2\u53cb\u986f\u7136\u5f88\u5167\u884c\u7684\u6a23\u5b50\uff0c\u8aaa\uff1a\u73fe\u5728\u90fd\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e86\uff0c\u7537\u5973\u5e73\u7b49\uff0c\u5973\u4eba\u4e5f\u61c9\u8a72\u4eab\u53d7\u6027\u6109\u6085\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u66c9\u96ea\u7d0d\u60b6\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u5728\u7e41\u884d\u4e2d\uff0c\u7537\u6027\u548c\u5973\u6027\u6709\u8457\u5169\u500b\u5fae\u5999\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30001. \u5169\u6027\u5c0d\u5f8c\u4ee3\u7684\u78ba\u8a8d\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u5973\u6027\u6c38\u9060\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u5b69\u5b50\u662f\u5426\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u7537\u6027\u6c38\u9060\u6c92\u6709100%\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u7be4\u5b9a\u5b69\u5b50\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u3002\u5373\u5b58\u5728\u7236\u5b50\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30002. \u5169\u6027\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u5f8c\u4ee3\u6578\u91cf\u5404\u6709\u5206\u5225\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u7e41\u6b96\u529b\u6700\u5f37\u7684\u5973\u6027\uff0c\u6700\u591a\u53ea\u80fd\u751f\u5e7e\u500b\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u800c\u64c1\u6709\u512a\u79c0\u8cc7\u6e90\u7684\u7537\u6027\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f15\u800c\u6613\u8209\u5730\u64c1\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5f8c\u4ee3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u9019\u5169\u9ede\u770b\u4f3c\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u9ede\u5340\u5225\uff0c\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u9019\u5c0f\u5c0f\u7684\u8774\u8776\u7fc5\u8180\u5728\u6f2b\u9577\u7684\u9032\u5316\u6b77\u7a0b\u4e2d\u6247\u8d77\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6027\u5225\u98a8\u66b4\uff0c\u8b93\u4eba\u985e\u81ea\u7136\u767c\u5c55\u51fa\u4e86\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u64c7\u5076\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5373\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30001.\u5973\u6027\u66f4\u9858\u610f\u5c0d\u5b69\u5b50\u6295\u8cc7\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5979\u7684\u7e41\u884d\u6210\u679c\u4e3b\u8981\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u5979\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u64c1\u6709\u66f4\u5177\u7e41\u6b96\u529b\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u628a\u5b69\u5b50\u64ab\u990a\u5230\u7e41\u6b96\u5e74\u9f61\u3002\u7537\u6027\u5c0d\u5f8c\u4ee3\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u610f\u9858\u4e26\u4e0d\u5341\u5206\u5f37\u70c8\u3002\u524d\u8005\u5c6c\u65bc\u91cd\u8cea\uff0c\u5f8c\u8005\u5c6c\u65bc\u91cd\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u30002.\u5973\u6027\u5927\u591a\u4ee5\u9577\u671f\u64c7\u5076\u7b56\u7565\u70ba\u4e3b\uff0c\u5373\u5c0b\u8993\u4e00\u500b\u9858\u610f\u5411\u81ea\u5df1\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u7537\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u64ab\u990a\u4e00\u500b\u8cea\u91cf\u9ad8\u7684\u5b69\u5b50;\u800c\u7537\u6027\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u63a1\u7528\u6df7\u5408\u64c7\u5076\u7b56\u7565\u2014\u2014\u9577\u671f\u64c7\u5076\u7b56\u7565\u548c\u77ed\u671f\u64c7\u5076\u7b56\u7565\u4ea4\u53c9\u4f7f\u7528\u3002\u4ed6\u5011\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u9700\u8981\u9577\u671f\u7a69\u5b9a\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u9577\u671f\u7a69\u5b9a\u95dc\u4fc2\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u904e\u5408\u6cd5\u7684\u53cd\u590d\u7684\u6027\u63a5\u89f8\u4f86\u52a0\u5f37\u5c0d\u5f8c\u4ee3\u7684\u7236\u6027\u78ba\u8a8d;\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u6703\u7a4d\u6975\u4e3b\u52d5\u5730\u5c0b\u6c42\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u5a5a\u5916\u6027\u4f34\u4fb6\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u4ea4\u5f80\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u7559\u4e0b\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5b50\u55e3\u2014\u2014\u5373\u4f7f\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u6c92\u6709\u7559\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f46\u9032\u5316\u8b93\u7537\u6027\u4fdd\u7559\u4e86\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u9069\u61c9\u6027\u884c\u70ba\u6a21\u5f0f(\u8a3b\u89e3\uff1a\u53c8\u7a31\u9069\u61c9\u5668\uff0cAdaptation\uff0c\u6307\u7531\u9032\u5316\u800c\u4f86\u7684\u3001\u901a\u904e\u907a\u50b3\u7372\u5f97\u7684\u3001\u7a69\u5b9a\u767c\u5c55\u8d77\u4f86\u7684\u3001\u5177\u6709\u7279\u6b8a\u76ee\u7684\u7684\u4eba\u985e\u5fc3\u7406\u7279\u6027)\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u5728\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u7e41\u884d\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u884c\u70ba\u7279\u5fb5\uff1a\u5728\u5a5a\u59fb\u4e2d\uff0c\u5973\u6027\u8207\u5b69\u5b50\u7684\u76f8\u8655\u6642\u9593\u6bd4\u7537\u6027\u9577\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u96e2\u5a5a\u5f8c\uff0c\u64ab\u990a\u5b69\u5b50\u7684\u4e5f\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u5973\u6027\uff0c\u7537\u6027\u5927\u591a\u50c5\u63d0\u4f9b\u64ab\u990a\u8cbb\u7528\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u751a\u8005\uff0c\u67d0\u4e9b\u7537\u6027\u9084\u6703\u62d2\u7d55\u63d0\u4f9b\u64ab\u990a\u8cbb\u7528\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u56e0\u70ba\u5973\u6027\u4e0d\u5fe0\u800c\u5c0e\u81f4\u7684\u5a5a\u59fb\u7834\u88c2\u2014\u2014\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u5b69\u5b50\u7684\u7236\u6027\u78ba\u8a8d\u8f03\u4f4e\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ed6\u5011\u66f4\u52a0\u4e0d\u9858\u610f\u64ab\u990a\u5b69\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u5728\u6b98\u75be\u5152\u7ae5\u5bb6\u5ead\u4e2d\uff0c\u62cb\u59bb\u68c4\u5b50\u800c\u53bb\u7684\u4e5f\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u7537\u4eba\u3002\u7a76\u5176\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u7537\u65b9\u751f\u6b96\u6f5b\u80fd\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u5b69\u5b50\u53ea\u5360\u5230\u4ed6\u751f\u80b2\u6f5b\u80fd\u5f88\u5c11\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4ed6\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\uff0c\u800c\u5973\u65b9\u5247\u672a\u5fc5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u5f88\u660e\u986f\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5973\u6027\u5c0d\u7e41\u6b96\u7684\u6295\u5165\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u591a\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u64c7\u5076\u7b56\u7565\u5c0d\u65bc\u5973\u6027\u7684\u5b50\u55e3\u6578\u91cf\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u5e6b\u52a9\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u5979\u9084\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u56e0\u6b64\u800c\u627f\u64d4\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u58d3\u529b\u2014\u2014\u6bd4\u5982\u8aaa\u6027\u75c5\u7684\u50b3\u64ad\u3001\u540d\u8b7d\u7684\u6bc0\u640d\u3001\u61f7\u5b55\u88ab\u62cb\u68c4\u7684\u5371\u96aa\u3001\u518d\u9078\u64c7\u7684\u56f0\u96e3\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u5973\u6027\u5728\u6027\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u66f4\u4fdd\u5b88\u548c\u8b39\u614e\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u5c0e\u81f4\u4e86\u5973\u6027\u7684\u6027\u8cc7\u6e90\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u5973\u6027\u5229\u7528\u77ed\u671f\u64c7\u5076\u7b56\u7565\u63db\u53d6\u8cc7\u6e90\u3001\u6216\u8005\u7372\u5f97\u5728\u4e08\u592b\u8eab\u4e0a\u7121\u6cd5\u7372\u5f97\u7684\u597d\u57fa\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u3000\u3000\u64c7\u5076\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u539f\u7406\u544a\u8a34\u6211\u5011\uff0c\u5973\u6027\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u7372\u5f97\u6bd4\u73fe\u6709\u4f34\u4fb6\u66f4\u512a\u79c0\u7684\u57fa\u56e0\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u5973\u6027\u4e0d\u904e\u5206\u7cfe\u7e8f\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u5341\u5206\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u7537\u4eba\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u9858\u610f\u548c\u4e00\u500b\u666e\u901a\u5973\u5b50\u767c\u751f\u95dc\u4fc2\u7684\u2014\u2014\u53cd\u6b63\u4e0d\u7528\u4ed6\u64d4\u8ca0\u8cac\u4efb\uff0c\u53c8\u53ef\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u5b50\u55e3\u7684\u6578\u76ee\u3002\u8cbb\u5e0c\u723e(Ronald Fisher)\u9084\u5c0d\u6b64\u63d0\u51fa\u904e\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u201c\u6027\u611f\u5152\u5b50\u201d\u5047\u8a2d\u3002\u5728\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\u4e2d\uff0c\u5973\u6027\u5b8c\u5168\u53ef\u4ee5\u9078\u64c7\u4e00\u500b\u9858\u610f\u548c\u5979\u4e00\u8d77\u64ab\u990a\u5f8c\u4ee3\u7684\u7f3a\u4e4f\u9b45\u529b\u7684\u7537\u6027\u505a\u9577\u671f\u4f34\u4fb6\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u53d6\u5f97\u7279\u5225\u6709\u9b45\u529b\u7684\u7537\u6027\u7684\u7cbe\u5b50\u88fd\u9020\u5b69\u5b50\u2014\u2014\u53ea\u8981\u4e0d\u88ab\u8001\u516c\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u5979\u9019\u500b\u5bcc\u6709\u9b45\u529b\u7684\u6027\u611f\u5152\u5b50\u6703\u7d66\u5979\u5e36\u4f86\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5b6b\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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